期刊论文

中文

财经论丛

1004-4892

2013

6

3-8

10.3969/j.issn.1004-4892.2013.06.001

湖南省社科基金资助项目(12YBA210);国家社科基金资助项目(08&ZD016)

本校为第一机构

本文利用面板数据模型，从省级层面分析了我国农村劳动力流出对不同空间区域粮食生产影响。研究结果表明，我国东部和中部农业人力资本与粮食产量呈正相关，说明这两个地区农村劳动力流出不利于其粮食生产的长期发展；我国西部农业人力资本与粮食产量呈负相关，说明西部农村劳动力流出有利于其粮食生产的发展；就全国整体而言，农业人力资本与粮食产量呈正相关，说明农村劳动力大规模流出不利于粮食的可持续发展。

This paper analyses Chinese rural labor outflow to food production effects of different rural areas from provin -cial level by the panel data model .The results show: agricultural manpower and grain yield are positively correlated in China's eastern and central regions , indicating that rural labor outflow is not conducive to the long-term grain production in the two ar-eas; agricultural manpower and grain yield are negatively related , indicating that rural labor outflow is conducive to the devel-opment of grain production in western region; As for the whole country , agricultural manpower an...