期刊论文

Research in Synchronization and Development of ＂Four- Modernizations＂ of Hunan Province and Its Influential Factors --Based on Perspective of Agricultural Modernization

中文

农业经济与管理

1674-9189

2018

1

58-66

10.3969/j.issn.1674-9189.2018.01.007

湖南省社会科学成果重点课题（XSP2016040521）.

本校为第一机构

基于国内外学者“四化”研究成果，利用湖南省1998～2015年相关数据，构建新型工业化、信息化、城镇化、农业现代化指标体系，运用因子分析法、几何平均法及HR评价模型法测算湖南“四化”同步协调发展值。结果表明，考查期内湖南“四化”发展水平指数快速提升，但农业现代化发展水平指数滞后；2015年湖南“四化”同步发展处于优质协调阶段。影响“四化”同步协调发展因素中，以农业现代化视角为切入点，构建Tobit模型。研究发现，农业现代化因素中农业资本劳动比、财政支农、农业技术人员数量、有效灌溉率对“四化”同步协调发展具有促进作用，而自然灾害制约“四化”同步协调发展。鉴于此，坚持...

Based on the study of ＂four-modernizations＂ of scholars at home and abroad, this paper constructed a new indicator system of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization based on the data from 1998-2015 in Hunan Province. Through the methods of factor analysis, geometric mean, harmonious degree evaluation model and other methods to calculate Hunan ＂four- modernizations＂ coordinated development value. The results showed that during the period of investigation, the index of development level of Hunan＇s ＂fo...