期刊论文

Liu, Q.

中文

中国人口·资源与环境

1002-2104

2009

19

5

111-116

10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2009.05.020

国家自然科学基金项目(70673037);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(04JZD0008)

本校为其他机构

采用经济计量分析方法通过观察1986-2006年中国建设占用耕地数量与人口增长之间的动态演进机制,提出两者之间的因果关系的假设,并进行了验证.研究结果表明我国建设占用耕地资源数量变化与人口增长具有协整关系,即两者之间存在长期均衡关系;建设占用耕地资源数量与人口增长之间相互作用的效果存在明显差异,建设占用耕地资源数量对人口增长带来的冲击响应强烈,而人口增长对建设占用耕地资源数量的冲击响应则相对较弱;进而验证建设占用耕地资源数量的变化与人口增长之间存在从人口增长到建设占用耕地数量变化的单向Granger因果关系,而从建设占用耕地数量变化到人口增长的Granger因果关系并不显著.因...

This article examined the dynamic evolvement relationship between cultivated land occupation quantity by construction and population growth from 1986 to 2006 by econometrics method, and put forward to a suppose : there may be the causality between them, and then give a confirmation. And the results show that: there are co-integration relationships between cultivated land occupation quantity by construction and population growth; the response of cultivated land occupation quantity by construction to population growth impulse is remarkable, while the response of population growth to cultivated l...