The pest catastrophe prediction in ecology catastrophe is one of important part in expert system of intelligence agriculture and also the guarantee for preventing and controlling the pest catastrophe occurrence efficiently. The paper introduced the basic principles and methods of current catastrophe prediction in ecology catastrophe. According to modeling for the dynamic process of population, up-grown and amount of spawn, the paper found out the trigger point and critical value inducing the pest catastrophe and implemented the catastrophe prediction of cnaphalocrocis medinalis guenee, which t...
